Currency Trend for Importers and Exporters : 06.10.2016

Currency Trend for Importers and Exporters : 06.10.2016



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USDINR  SPOT   - DOWN TREND

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EURINR SPOT  - DOWN TREND
GBPINR SPOT   - DOWN TREND
JPY INR SPOT   - DOWN TREND

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Oil dips after reaching June highs following US crude stock draw : 06.10.2016

Oil dips after reaching June highs following US crude stock draw : 06.10.2016


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US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were trading at USD 49.63 per barrel at 0051 GMT, down 20 cents from their last settlement.


Oil prices dipped on Thursday but remained near June highs reached the previous session when they were buoyed by a fall in US crude inventories. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were trading at USD 49.63 per barrel at 0051 GMT, down 20 cents from their last settlement. International Brent crude futures were down 24 cents at USD 51.62 per barrel. Traders said the price dips early on Thursday were largely a result of profit-taking following strong price rises the day before. Both contracts hit their highest levels since June on Wednesday after the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said crude stockpiles fell 3 million barrels last week to 499.74 million barrels, and as international oil markets prepared for a planned output cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). "Another week another surprise drawdown in crude inventories by the EIA ... Although crude in storage remains at record highs, this is the third week of unexpected drawdowns in a row," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at brokerage OANDA in Singapore. He added that WTI prices would likely be "eyeing the psychological USD 50" soon, although there was the downside risk of shale drillers putting rigs back into operation which were mothballed at lower prices. Other analysts said that overall market conditions pointed to slightly higher prices, largely due to the planned OPEC cut, but also due to the risk of forced disruptions. "All in all, oil prices seem headed for higher levels in the coming period," Global Risk Management said in its quarterly report published this week. It pointed to the risk of "several oil producing countries struggling to increase or even keep production at current levels due to unrest/oil facility wreckages and lack of industry investments".

Gold edges up as bargain hunters step in after falls : 06.10.2016

Gold edges up as bargain hunters step in after falls : 06.10.2016

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Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at USD 1,268.60 an ounce by 0058 GMT. Bullion touched a fresh low of USD 1,261.59 in the previous session, its lowest since June 24.

Gold edged higher on early Thursday as bargain hunters stepped in to buy after the metal hit fresh three-month lows in the previous session, ahead of Friday's nonfarm payrolls report. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at USD 1,268.60 an ounce by 0058 GMT. Bullion touched a fresh low of USD 1,261.59 in the previous session, its lowest since June 24. * U.S. gold futures rose 0.2 percent to USD 1,270.90 an ounce. * U.S. services sector activity rebounded to an 11-month high in September, an encouraging sign for economic growth that may increase the prospect of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this year. * Elsewhere, U.S. private employers added 154,000 jobs in September, below economists' expectations, a report by a payrolls processor showed on Wednesday. * The Bank of England, which signalled a few weeks ago that a fresh interest rate cut was likely next month, has been put on the spot by signs that Britain's economy has weathered the initial shock of the Brexit vote better than expected. * Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund fell 0.03 percent to 947.63 tonnes on Wednesday. * Physical gold demand in London jumped after this week's price drop, dealers said on Wednesday. * The Perth Mint's sales of gold and silver products rose in September. * A U.S. judge said gold investors may pursue much of their lawsuit accusing four major banks of conspiring for a decade to fix prices and exploit distortions at the expense of investors. * Negotiations are under way to resolve a week-long blockade at Goldcorp Inc's suspended Peñasquito gold mine in Mexico. * South Africa's Sibanye Gold has opened its Cooke mine, chief executive Neal Froneman said on Wednesday, a day after suspending work due to violence between rival unions. * Anglo American Platinum remains confident the disposal of its labour-intensive Rustenburg mines in South Africa to Sibanye Gold will clear its last regulatory hurdle this year.

Asian shares firm after US service sector rebounds :06.10.2016

Asian shares firm after US service sector rebounds :06.10.2016

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MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.2 percent while Japan's Nikkei gained 0.9 percent.

Asian shares firmed on Thursday, encouraged by stronger US economic data and a rise in oil prices, while growing prospects of a US rate hike hit gold and the boosted the dollar to one-month highs versus the yen. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.2 percent while Japan's Nikkei gained 0.9 percent. On Wednesday, US S&P 500 Index gained 0.43 percent, led by banks and energy companies. US services sector activity recovered sharply in September from six-year low hit in August, following similarly upbeat news from US factories on Monday. "Both manufacturing and service indexes recovered from big falls in August. While it is not clear what the underlying US economic trend is, given the recovery in Japanese and Chinese surveys the global economic cycle appears to be rebounding for now," said Chotaro Morita, chief bond strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities. Rising optimism on the US economy boosted bets that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December. The policy-sensitive two-year US note yield hit a four-month high of 0.857 percent with interest rate futures pricing in more than a 60 percent chance the Fed will hike by its December meeting. The 10-year US Treasuries yield also rose to 1.706 percent, compared to around 1.60 percent at the start of week. The rise in bond yields partly stemmed from speculation the European Central Bank may eventually taper its bond buying after Bloomberg reported on Tuesday the bank would probably wind down the monthly 80-billion euro (USD 90 billion) scheme. Euro zone bond yields have picked up since then, with Germany's 10-year Bund yield rising back to near zero percent from 2 1/2-month low of minus 0.16 percent hit last week. The spectre of tighter monetary policy in the U.S. and Europe hit precious metals hard. Gold extended losses after its sharp fall on Tuesday, hitting a 3 1/2-month low of USD 1,262.2 per ounce. Silver also fell to USD17.565 per ounce, its lowest since late June. In the currency market, the dollar rose to a one-month high of 103.67 yen and last stood at 103.52 yen. The British pound recovered slightly after hitting a three-decade low of USD 1.2686 on Wednesday on worries about Britain's EU exit. It last traded at USD 1.2747. The euro was little changed at USD 1.1209, with pressure from concerns about the health of Deutsche Bank offset by speculation about the ECB's tapering. Oil prices rose to their highest since June after the fifth unexpected weekly drawdown in US crude inventories added to support on hopes that major producers will agree to cut output next month. The US Energy Information Administration said crude stockpiles fell 3 million barrels last week, well below the build of 2.6 million barrels forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll. International benchmark Brent futures rose to as high as USD 52.09 per barrel on Wednesday, the highest since early June and up almost 6 percent so far this week.

US Market : Energy, bank stocks lead Wall Street higher : 06.10.2016

US Market : Energy, bank stocks lead Wall Street higher : 06.10.2016


The Dow Jones industrial average rose 112.58 points, or 0.62 percent, to 18,281.03, the S&P 500 gained 9.24 points, or 0.43 percent, to 2,159.73 and the Nasdaq Composite added 26.36 points, or 0.5 percent, to 5,316.02.



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Stocks on Wall Street rose Wednesday led by the energy sector as oil prices rallied and as financials gained on the increasing likelihood of an interest rate hike after strong economic data. Activity in the US services sector hit an 11-month high in September, an encouraging sign for economic growth that may nudge the Federal Reserve toward an interest rate increase before the year ends. Banks, seen benefiting from an eventual rate hike, gained 2 percent as a group -the most for any day in two months. "We’re taking a little victory lap today after the surprisingly good economic data,” said Kim Forrest, senior equity research analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group in Pittsburgh. She said expectations are rising for a pickup in corporate earnings and “there are good signs in the economy." Traders priced in a near 65 percent chance of a Fed rate hike in December after the services data, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. The chances had dipped earlier in the day after data showed the US private sector added slightly fewer jobs than expected last month. The higher chance of a Fed rate hike hurt rate-sensitive sectors like real estate, which fell 1.9 percent. "Looks as if we may have a rate increase some time in 2016 or early 2017," Forrest said. "The recent rise in the 10-year yield tells you that if you've been buying some dividend -paying stocks for yield alone, you may be in trouble." The yield on the benchmark Treasury note touched 1.73 percent after having dipped under 1.54 percent on Friday. The energy sector of the S&P 500 added 1.4 percent as both Brent LCOc1 and US crude CLc1 oil rose to multi-month highs after data showed a bigger-than-expected draw in US inventories. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 112.58 points, or 0.62 percent, to 18,281.03, the S&P 500 gained 9.24 points, or 0.43 percent, to 2,159.73 and the Nasdaq Composite added 26.36 points, or 0.5 percent, to 5,316.02. Just over 7 billion shares changed hands in US exchanges, compared with the 7.2 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions. Twitter rose 5.7 percent to USD 24.87 after the Wall Street Journal reported it is expected to field bids this week. Shares of Booz Allen Hamilton fell 3.8 percent to USD 30.31 after news broke that an NSA contractor who worked for Booz Allen was arrested in August and charged with stealing highly classified information. Booze Allen is the consulting firm that employed Edward Snowden when he revealed the collection of metadata by the NSA in 2013. Salesforce dropped 5.8 percent to USD 68.42 after a Mizuho analyst raised concerns over the company's eventual bid for Twitter. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.55-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.19-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 24 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 117 new highs and 20 new lows.

US MARKET : Threat of 'hard Brexit' pulls down Wall Street : 05.10.2016

Threat of 'hard Brexit' pulls down Wall Street : 05.10.2016

 The Dow Jones industrial average fell 0.47 percent to end at 18,168.45 and the S&P 500 lost 0.5 percent to 2,150.49.
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US stocks dropped on Tuesday as investors fretted about Britain's exit from the European Union and the prospect of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in coming months. It was the second straight session of losses on Wall Street, where investors were already on edge due to the uncertainty of a tight race ahead of the Nov. 8 presidential election. Sterling slid to its lowest in more than three decades after British Prime Minister Theresa May said the country's divorce from the EU will not be "plain sailing" and that there would be "bumps in the road." While the weaker pound sent UK stocks surging, it raised worries among US investors. "Clearly there has been some reverberation from across the pond in terms of the prospect for a slightly more disorderly UK separation from the EU," said Bill Northey, chief investment officer for the private client group at US Bank in Helena, Montana. Angst about future interest rate hikes also returned to the fore after Richmond Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker said he would have voted in favor of an increase at the latest policy meeting had he been able to do so. Traders have priced in a 63 percent chance of the Fed raising rates in December, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund lowered its 2016 growth forecast for the US economy to 1.6 percent from 2.2 percent and painted a gloomy picture of the global economy. Ten of the 11 major S&P 500 indexes fell, with the high dividend -paying utilities sector slumping 2.17 percent and telecom services down 1.67 percent. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 0.47 percent to end at 18,168.45 and the S&P 500 lost 0.5 percent to 2,150.49. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.21 percent to 5,289.66. Investors' attention is turning to corporate profits, with third-quarter results rolling in over the next few weeks. A failure to meet already low expectations could put new pressure on an equities market already trading at valuations above historical averages. S&P 500 companies on average are expected to post a 0.5 percent year-over-year dip in September-quarter earnings, the fifth straight quarter of declines, according to Thomson Reuters data. In extended trade, Micron Technology was flat after the memory chipmaker reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue above analysts' expectations. During the session, Sears surged 6.42 percent after Bloomberg reported that the department store chain's Craftsman tool brand had attracted multiple bidders. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.62-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and four new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 32 new lows. About 7.2 billion shares changed hands on US exchanges, in line with the 7.1 billion daily average for the past 20 trading days, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Mcx Commodity Market Trend Update : 04-10-2016 13:10Pm

Mcx Commodity Market Trend Update : 04-10-2016 13:10Pm

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McxCommodity Market Trend Update
04-10-2016 13:10
McxAluminium:Trend-Up
McxCardamom:Trend-Down
McxCopper:Trend-Down
McxCoppermini:Trend-Down
McxCotton:Trend-Down
McxCPO:Trend-Down
McxCrudeoil:Trend-Down
McxCrudeoilmini:Trend-Down
McxGold:Trend-Down
McxGoldguinea:Trend-Down
McxGoldmini:Trend-Down
McxGoldpetal:Trend-Down
McxLead:Trend-Down
McxLeadmini:Trend-Down
McxMenthaoil:Trend-Down
McxNaturalgas:Trend-Up
McxNickel:Trend-Up
McxNickelmini:Trend-Up
McxSilver:Trend-Down
McxSilvermini:Trend-Down
McxSilvermicro:Trend-Down
McxZinc:Trend-Down
McxZincmini:Trend-Down

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Gold holds losses on firm dollar after positive US data : 04.10.2016

Gold holds losses on firm dollar after positive US data : 04.10.2016


Spot gold edged down nearly 0.1 percent to USD 1,310.35 an ounce by 0048 GMT. The bullion fell 0.3 percent to a near two-week low of USD 1,309.07 Monday.


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Gold held on to losses early Tuesday, after falling slightly in the previous session, on a firmer dollar after an upbeat US economic data. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold edged down nearly 0.1 percent to USD 1,310.35 an ounce by 0048 GMT. The bullion fell 0.3 percent to a near two-week low of USD 1,309.07 Monday. * US gold futures were nearly flat at USD 1,313.10 an ounce. * US factories ramped up activity in September, shaking off a one-month contraction in a sign America was resisting the downward pull of the sluggish global economy. * Positive data usually puts pressure on gold prices, because investors raise bets on a US interest rate hike that would increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. * However, the Federal Reserve would probably not be able to cut interest rates as aggressively as the last time around if it were faced with a US recession in the next few years, New York Fed President William Dudley said on Monday. * The Bank of Japan would deepen negative interest rates to thwart any sharp spikes in the yen, which the central bank sees as an obstacle to stoking inflation and economic growth, sources familiar with its thinking say. * Japanese companies' long-term inflation expectations weakened in September, a Bank of Japan survey showed, highlighting the difficult and drawn-out task the central bank faces in trying to conquer the country's deflationary mindset. * Charging banks even more to park their money with the European Central Bank could backfire if the damage to the banking sector outweighs the benefit for borrowers, ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch said on Monday. * The dollar rose against the yen early on Tuesday after receiving a boost from upbeat US economic data. * The dollar added to overnight gains and was up 0.3 percent at 101.925 yen, a 13-day high. The dollar index nudged up over 0.1 percent to 95.816. * Goldcorp Inc said on Monday it was temporarily shutting down its Peñasquito gold mine in Mexico as it was unable to safely continue operations due to a week-long blockade by a trucking contractor, sending its shares down nearly 5 percent. * India's gold imports fell for a ninth straight month in September as weak retail demand and higher discounts prompted banks and refineries to cut overseas purchases of the bullion, provisional data from consultancy GFMS showed on Monday.

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Oil prices dip on surging Iran sales : 04.10.2016

Oil prices dip on surging Iran sales : 04.10.2016


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International Brent crude oil futures were trading at USD 50.79 per barrel at 0015 GMT, down 10 cents from their previous close.

Oil prices dipped early on Tuesday, weighed down by a rise in Iranian exports that adds to a global supply overhang, although a planned OPEC-led supply cut later this year has lent crude some support. International Brent crude oil futures were trading at USD 50.79 per barrel at 0015 GMT, down 10 cents from their previous close. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down 15 cents at USD 48.66 a barrel. Traders said prices were dented by the latest rise in Iranian crude and condensate sales, which likely reached about 2.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in September, almost matching a 2011 peak in shipments before sanctions were imposed on the OPEC producer. However, analysts said Iran will struggle to boost output further and reaching pre-sanctions levels makes it more likely Tehran will agree on some form of production constraint with other members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), including its regional rival Saudi Arabia, which is also pumping oil near record levels. There was optimism that OPEC producers, and perhaps also exporters outside the club like Russia, would find some form of agreement by the time the producer club meets in November, although the risks of failure remain. "For now, optimism has returned and the market will anxiously await any confirmation of the agreement or additional non-OPEC participation," Morgan Stanley said in a note to clients. It added that "the risk of disappointment is high, and fundamentals remain challenging/unchanged in the interim." The US bank said important price factors to watch for in coming weeks include talks on output with non-OPEC members, most notably with Russia, production within OPEC as its members try to squeeze out oil before any potential cut or freeze, hedging activity by producers into 2017 as forward price guidance, and US inventory and import data.

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Asian shares wobble, dollar firms after upbeat US data : 04.10.2016

Asian shares wobble, dollar firms after upbeat US data : 04.10.2016

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was slightly higher in early trading, while Japan's Nikkei stock index gained 0.6 percent as the dollar rose against the yen.

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Asian shares wobbled on Tuesday after fading hopes for a reduced Deutsche Bank fine and rising expectations of a US interest rate hike pressured Wall Street. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was slightly higher in early trading, while Japan's Nikkei stock index gained 0.6 percent as the dollar rose against the yen. US shares slumped overnight, with shares of Deutsche Bank resuming their slide as hopes faded that Germany's largest lender would reach a swift deal with the U.S. Department of Justice over a fine of up to USD 14 billion for mis-selling mortgage-backed securities. Also in focus, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its index of national factory activity rose to 51.5 from 49.4 the prior month, indicating that the sector is now expanding. The upbeat data had a mixed impact. While strong data reassures investors worried about the strength of the US economy, it also adds to bets that the Federal Reserve is on track to raise interest rates as early as this year. Higher rates, while good for the dollar, could pressure equities markets. "Firmed prospects for a December rate hike were not taken well in the equity markets," Angus Nicholson, market analyst at IG in Melbourne, wrote in a note. "The prospects of higher interest rates makes the present value of steady cash flow producing assets such as property and utilities correspondingly less valuable." The dollar index, which tracks the US unit against a basket of six major rivals, added 0.1 percent to 95.810 . Against the yen, the dollar added 0.4 percent to 102.01, while the euro was slightly lower at USD 1.1208. The main economic event this week is Friday's nonfarm payrolls report. Employers are expected to have added 170,000 jobs in September, according to the median estimate of 59 economists polled by Reuters. Sterling crept up 0.2 percent to USD 1.2851 after plunging close to 31-year lows against the dollar on Monday after the UK set a March deadline to begin the formal process for Britain's exit from the European Union. The Australian dollar edged up 0.1 percent to USD 0.7679 and Australian shares slipped 0.4 percent, ahead of a monthly policy decision later on Tuesday by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Australia's central bank is widely expected to hold its cash rate at a record low of 1.5 percent, a Reuters poll of 57 economists found on Friday, following cuts in August and May. Crude oil futures took a breather following sharp gains overnight after Iran urged other oil producers to join OPEC in supporting the market. US crude was down 0.3 percent at USD 48.66 a barrel after closing up 1.2 percent on Monday. Brent was down 0.2 percent at USD 50.77 after gaining 1.4 percent overnight.

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US MARKET : Oil up on Iran comments, Wall Street ticks down : 04.10.2016

US MARKET : Oil up on Iran comments, Wall Street ticks down : 04.10.2016


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 The Dow Jones industrial average fell 54.3 points, or 0.3 percent, to 18,253.85, the S&P 500 lost 7.07 points, or 0.33 percent, to 2,161.2 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 11.13 points, or 0.21 percent, to 5,300.87.


An index of stocks across the world ended flat on Monday while Wall Street dipped, and oil prices rose to a three-month high after Iran's leader called on non-OPEC producers to help support prices. The US dollar rose against a basket of its peers after strong manufacturing data, sterling brushed against a three-decade low versus the greenback and the Colombian peso fell after voters rejected a peace deal to end a more than 50-year-old war. Traders were on the lookout for news from Deutsche Bank, which is working to reach a settlement with US authorities who have demanded a fine of up to USD14 billion for the way the bank sold toxic mortgage-backed securities. The German stock market was closed on Monday but Deutsche's US-listed shares fell as much as 3.7 percent. The stock ended down 0.8 percent at USD12.98 after hitting last week USD 11.185, a record low. "The feeling is there will be a negotiation lowering that penalty but it's certainly a bit of an overhang on the overall market," said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment officer of Solaris Group in Bedford Hills, New York. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 54.3 points, or 0.3 percent, to 18,253.85, the S&P 500 lost 7.07 points, or 0.33 percent, to 2,161.2 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 11.13 points, or 0.21 percent, to 5,300.87. The pan-European STOXX 600 index ticked up less than 0.1 percent and the FTSEurofirst 300 index ended flat. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe dipped 0.05 percent. Crude futures prices rose, taking Brent above USD50 a barrel and U.S. crude to three-month highs after comments by Iran's leader exhorting the need for other oil producers to join OPEC in supporting the market. "There's already a soft commitment from Russia that it will be part of the OPEC plan and if more non-OPEC members get on board, prices can only go higher," said Phil Flynn, analyst at the Price Futures Group brokerage in Chicago. US crude was up 0.9 percent at USD48.66 a barrel and Brent last traded at USD 50.81, up 1.2 percent on the day. Sterling fell 1 percent against the dollar to its lowest since July, touching a low of USD 1.2815 and slightly above a 31-year low of USD 1.2796 after Britain on Sunday set a March deadline to start the process to leave the European Union. It also hit a three-year low against the euro of 87.47 pence per euro. The Colombian peso fell as much as 2.8 percent versus the dollar after voters rejected a hard-negotiated deal between the government and Marxist guerrillas to end a 52-year war. The currency ended down 1.65 percent. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, gained on data showing the US manufacturing sector grew by more than expected in September. The index was last up 0.3 percent. The manufacturing data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by December, sending US Treasury yields higher. Benchmark 10-year notes fell 6/32 in price to yield 1.6256 percent, up from 1.606 percent on Friday. Spot gold prices fell USD3.80 or 0.3 percent, to USD 1,312 an ounce.


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Profits - Equity-Commodity-Currency- 03.10.2016

Profits - Equity-Commodity-Currency- 03.10.2016

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